4. Software spending growth will be stronger than in IT Services; Telecommunications and hardware sales will decline

In my research I split ITC offerings into 4 mutually exclusive categories. In 2024 I expect that IT Services will remain the largest (39% of the total) with growth in the year of 1.7%. Software (now larger than both Telecommunications and Hardware) will see the strongest growth (5%). I expect […] Read more »

5. Sales by offering – Software as a Service spending will grow most; Implementation IT services will be the largest

I split the 4 categories in my research into 32 separate offerings; of these I expect Software as a Service (SaaS) to see the greatest growth in 2024 (14%), followed by Operating Systems (10%), IaaS (9%) and PaaS (9%). Sales of Implementation services (12%) and Applications (11%) will be the […] Read more »

6. Spending on raw storage will begin to grow again, following two years of dramatic decline

I’m nervous to make predictions around raw storage devices following the failures I’ve made here over the last couple of years. There’s no doubt that these markets have proved highly volatile since the pandemic, when not enough of these components were made to meet demand and then were over produced. […] Read more »

7. Generative AI – especially from large public cloud suppliers will continue to grow at tremendous rates

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has been threatening to take a lead role as a revenue generator in our industry for many years. 2023 was a year in which we saw very dramatic growth from the specialist suppliers involved. My Figure above shows Nvidia’s reported ‘datacenter’ revenues by quarter; this is where […] Read more »

8. State-sponsored cyber criminals will continue to influence/interrupt/disrupt national elections in the USA and UK

Both the USA and the UK will have general elections in 2024. Politics in both countries have been badly affected by international (mainly Russian) interference in the past; I believe that the UK’s decision to leave the EU for instance would not have been taken were it not for the […] Read more »