AMD Announces Open 3.0 – Modular Server Motherboards For Large Workloads

AMD Open 3.0 Highlights

  • A new type of server – differnt from generic machines and those self-built by public Cloud ‘mega datacenters’
  • An open motherboard design incorporating 2 Opteron 6300 processors
  • Initially manufactured by Tyan and Quanta Computer
  • Broadcom and Mellanox will supply cards and components
  • Servers supplied by Avnet and Penguin Computing
  • Pre-production units placed with HPC customers and in the Finance sector (where Fidelity and Goldman Sachs are current references)
  • Many proposed use cases and targeted solutions for Cloud Infrastructure, HPC and Storage
  • Potential advantages are lower acquisition and running costs, as well as multivendor supply

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Peter Ryan – HP’s Data Centre Push In EMEA

HP EMEA Highlights

  • The trouble with Autonomy has masked its recent performance, which was on a par with its competitors in the business market
  • HP’s IT revenues in EMEA are behind Apple and Samsung
  • HP Services business is shifting towards core data centre activities
  • Will account for technical services business in its separate hardware areas
  • Customer wins in HP’s Q4 include service providers in the UK and yet more sales to Kazakhstan
  • HP has time to address the softness of its converged device business, but will need to make changes
  • Expect a revival in 2013 – especially in data centre and converged infrastructure business

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Rich Hume Oultines IBM’s Comptetive Strength In Europe

madrid
IBM Europe Highlights

  • IBM has moved from its regional IOT structure, setting up Europe with an HQ in Madrid
  • It is implementing its worldwide strategic priorities and investing to meet detailed, specific and public 2015 revenue targets
  • Has set up a Smarter Cities lab in Dublin and has included many European locations in its 2013 Smart Cities Challenge
  • Key Business Analytics reference customers include KiddiCare.com, Rissoli Orthopaedic Institute and Vestas Wind Systems
  • Cloud reference customers include the university of Bari, Sunderland City Council and ESB ecars
  • Will be supporting the EU’s Horizon 2020 project with its deep long-term, regional resources
  • Growth countries in Europe include 30 in CEE – 15% of the worldwide growth markets opportunity
  • Is well positioned to withstand the Euro Crunch recession

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Will The UK Government CRC Changes Push Data Centres Out?

CRC Change Highlights

  • The creation of CRCEES as a pure tax punishes industrial companies in general and data centres in particular
  • It moves the issue off the CSR agenda and out of the board room
  • Those companies already paying the CLL will be taxed twice
  • Other EU countries are delaying the implementation of CRC laws to help with economic recovery
  • The UK is the most advanced and competitive market for data centres in Europe
  • ITC activities add significantly to the UK’s GDP
  • The tax of £12/tonne of CO2 will undoubtedly rise
  • While it won’t affect existing data centres, new builds are less likely if the UK continues to legislate significantly ahead of other countries and/or if the tax rate is higher

I enjoyed the Datacenterdynamics conference in London massively a few weeks ago. A common concern running throughout was CRC legislation, so I thought I’d put my spin on how seriously recent changes will affect data centres. In particular whether it will force companies to relocate to avoid paying carbon taxation.

The Coalition Government Turns CRCEES Into A Pure Tax

In its Spending Review published in October, the UK coalition government made essential changes to the Carbon Reduction Commitment Energy Efficiency Scheme (CRCEES). In particular:

  • “2.108 The CRC Energy Efficiency scheme will be simplified to reduce the burden on businesses, with the first allowance sales for 2011-12 emissions now taking place in 2012 rather than 2011. Revenues from allowance sales totalling £1 billion a year by 2014-15 will be used to support the public finances, including spending on the environment, rather than recycled to participants. Further decisions on allowance sales are a matter for the Budget process.”

Initially the CRC was a voluntary scheme garnering board-level support from Britain’s largest companies – the idea of course was that by monitoring, measuring and reducing the usage of electricity would play a part in making the country greener. Early adopters made it part of their Corporate and Social Responsibility (CSR) strategies. Of course the credit crunch changed things for most countries – recession reduced carbon emissions by 20% as a result of reduced economic activity and few governments wanted to hamstring their own national companies with an extra tax at the most challenging of times. The talks at Copenhagen a year ago failed to reach agreement on new carbon emission reductions partially because of national governments concerns about recovering from the credit crunch.
In the UK however the Labour government pushed forward with making CRCEES compulsory for all organisations using 6,000MWh per year. The scheme had a number of interesting aspects. In particular:

  • Organisations would purchase credits in advance, calculating how much electricity they expected to use in the year
  • They would trade the credits at the end of the year, buying if necessary from others with a surplus
  • The UK’s Department of Environment and Climate Change (DECC) was to publish a league table ranking the good and the bad in order of how they cut emissions
  • 90% of the £1 billion collected from the scheme was to be redistributed to the better performers

The in-coming coalition government’s has now changed the scheme into a pure tax. The ‘delay’ in bringing the allowance sales is most probably because there is now no need to buy in them in advance or trade them with others. The tax is currently priced at £12 per tonne, but – like University tuition fees – this is likely to rise in future.

Companies Subject To The CCL Get Taxed Twice

Not only is the CRCEES now only a tax, but it is in addition to the Carbon Change Levy (CCL) charged to big industrial organisations. For some time the government has encouraged these companies to volunteer for Carbon Change Agreements (CCAs) – which allow discounts of up to 80% in exchange for taking on “sector targets with DECC on energy consumption relative to production output”. The current CCAs run out in 2013 and look likely to be replaced by a scheme with a much shorter life span (probably 2013-2017). Again there is plenty of scope for the government to withdraw or reduce discounts after that point. It will also become difficult for large industrial companies to keep in line with these two very different carbon tax schemes.
For now not only is the UK the only government in the EU to introduce CRC tax, but it will be changing those organisations subject to the CCL twice – less a CCA discount which it can wriggle out of soon. CRC taxes already exist in Japan and will inevitably come to all EU countries, but the UK government is in advance of all others – chargng twice. The French government, for instance, recently rejected introducing a similar scheme.
As far as CSR is concerned, CRCEES as just a tax will fall off the agenda and out of the board room in most UK companies, reducing their focus on environmental issues accordingly.

Will Extra Carbon Emission Taxes Force Data Centres Out Of The UK?

Currently we enjoy data centres are booming in the UK. A combination of strong connections with the US – both in terms of business models and language, the size of the financial sector (around 20% of GDP) and a hitherto deregulated environment have made this the location of choice for many. However the latest government changes in CRC challenge that.
When talking about the data centres James Dow of CSTechnology (which helped the New York Stock Exchange’s London build out) noted that for a trader the office location is not nearly as important as the closeness of your server to the trading system. While the NYSE’s data centres are currently located in Basildon and Slough he predicted that they might equally well move out to Paris or Amsterdam without negatively affecting the traders.
In a later presentation however Ron Mann of HP concentrated on the gaps in planning between IT and facilities management – pointing out that the first has a three to five year – and latter a ten to fifteen year – life cycle. I believe it is unlikely therefore that current operations will be forced out unless the tax rises significantly and other European countries continue to hold off. It will be a different story for new data centre builds, with multinational companies opting for more favourable locations. In discussion the CRC panel at the conferences discussed one case of a new data centre going to Ireland recently, partially as a result of the tax changes.
I’ve noted before – mainly in my discussion with Nick Razey of NGD – that data centres are susceptible to environmental taxes. New data centres use a lot of electricity and are always designed with energy efficiency in mind. CRC taxes are designed to encourage improvements in energy usage in normal business – there simply aren’t that many savings a new large data centre can make. In addition the current UK legislation makes no allowance for the use of alternative energy. If you use 100% alternative of nuclear electricity your tax will be the same as if you exclusive use power from fossil fuel. We believe that the UK government should invest more of its taxes into funding nuclear power stations if it really wants to reduce carbon emissions, starting with the £1 billion it now intends to take from CRCEES.
On balance, however I think the UK will keep its competitive edge in data centre operations over the rest of Europe – at least until the electricity supply starts to run down due to the government’s lack of investment in nuclear energy: but that’s another story….

ITCandor’s ITC Market Model

methodology 02

Many of you have asked about how our market model works, so we wanted to add to the coverage included on our About page. The diagram above is a simple guide to our taxonomy and organisation of our data model. You’ll find this useful in understanding our market sizing, shares forecasts and predictions. Read more »

The Politics of Converged Infrastructure

Politics Highlights

  • Software Defined x sits atop Converged Infrastructure including Bring Your Own y – separated by the hypervisor
  • Data centre outsourcing saw a conflict between CFO and CIO
  • Cloud Computing saw a conflict between LOB and CIO
  • Converged Infrastructure adds a potential battle between 4 distinct data centre constituents managed by secret sauce orchestration software or firmware
  • Suppliers address a high-level purchasers, but need buy-in from the data centre if possible
  • Suppliers will succeed by improving efficiency and reducing internal IT costs
  • The success of Converged Infrastructure and Integrated Systems will be limited by internal politics

ciandis politics 01

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ITCandor 2013 Predictions – A Rocky Boat, Few Ports

ITCandor Expectations 2013

  1. The ITC market drops 3.2% to $6.4T in 2013 as the Euro Crunch thickens – net profit stays strong
  2. ITC sales in the Americas drop by 5.1%, in EMEA by 4.1% and in Asia Pacific by 0.7%
  3. BRIC, Switzerland and Romania Are only countries to grow – steep decline in the West
  4. PC markets decline as smart devices continue to overtake – operating systems, SaaS, storage systems grow
  5. Cloud Computing is still countervailing, but grows just 2% in 2013
  6. Consumer spending drops by 4%; all business sectors drop – large company by less than SMB
  7. Spending in Health and Education sectors grow – all others decline
  8. The growth of MSPs And Cloud Services change distribution channels dramatically
  9. Converged Infrastructure and Integrated Systems become key offerings
  10. Corporate and Social Responsibility strategies address user and employee communities

It the time of year to make predictions and I’m afraid ITCandor holds out little cheer for the coming year. As we predicted in previous years the ITC industry has entered a period of downturn – shallower, but longer lasting than the Credit Crunch fall of 2008-9. We decided to call this the ‘Euro Crunch’, since the troubles are linked to the continuing problems of sovereign debt, austerity budgets and the resultant economic recession. As always we’ll take a broad-based view over the entire ITC market. See our About page for more details of our research process and taxonomy. You’ll be interested to read about the opportunities, no matter how few and far between they fall. Read more »

Server Market Q3 2012 – Falls 6% To $13.9 Billion

Server Market Highlights Q3 2012

  • In the year to September 2012 the total server market dropped 7% to $57.5 billion
  • HP led the market with a 23.9% share worth $13.7 billion
  • Large companies accounted for 53.4%, Medium for 13.9% and Small for 30.7% of server spending
  • The x86 server market fell 4% to $42.2 billion
  • HP led the sector with a 28.8% share ($12.2 billion)
  • In Q3 2012 the total server market fell 6% to $13.9 billion
  • The x86 server market dropped 4% to $10.4 billion

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Tegile – IOP Advantages With Unified Hybrid Storage

Tegile Highlights

  • A small US-based company, looking for a measured international expansion
  • Builds flash storage appliances using Hitachi SSD and Open Solaris-based software
  • Improves IOP performance through meta data acceleration
  • Provides capacity reduction through de-duplication and compression
  • A strong potential for growth and/or as an acquisition target

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IBM’s Ambuj Goyal – A New Lens On Data Centre Development

IBM Data Centre Vision Highlights

  • Separates ‘systems of engagement’ from ‘systems of record’ trends
  • Reviews the increasing CIO challenges
  • Sees a need to accelerate business velocity
  • Focuses on reducing server management and admin costs as a proportion of data centre spending
  • Identifies six trends in consolidation over time
  • Offers integrated offerings (such as PureSystems) to intersect these evolving user needs
  • We believe it offers Matrix Integration, protecting customers from future lock-in

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Dell Primes PartnerDirect Channels For Windows Server 2012 Upgrades

Dell, Microsoft Windows Server Highlights

  • Readies its PartnerDirect channel for Microsoft’s new operating system
  • The ending of support for Windows 2003 in July 2015 creates a call to action for customers
  • Links its training and collateral to sales cycle phases
  • Aims to help its channel move to higher-margin services
  • Will include other software and hardware with the upgrade business
  • Microsoft estimates that 80% of its servers run Windows 2003 today – 30 million by our estimates

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Dell’s New Software Division Integrates – Kace’s New Role

Dell Kace Highlights

  • Dell Software division is formed with 4 divisions – Security, Systems Management, Business Intelligence and Applications
  • Kace becomes a product brand – its organisation becomes the basis of the new client systems management group
  • For its software push Dell has added 8 companies, 6.7k employees and 157k customers for $5.7 billion, according to our estimates
  • A new version of K1000 addresses new server operating systems and easier acquisition of asset information
  • Full integration will take time

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Converged Infrastructure And The $299 Billion Data Centre Market

Data Centre Spending Highlights Q2 2012

  • Total spending was $299 billion in year to June
  • Internal staffing cost $141 billion – 47.4% of the total
  • Servers cost $40 billion (13.5%) – IBM led with 24.9%
  • Networking cost $30 billion (9.9%)– Cisco dominated with a 55.3% share
  • Storage systems accounted for $30 billion (9.9%) – EMC led with a 19.8% share
  • Infrastructure software was 6.0% of spending and growing
  • Other spending includes Telecom and IT services, Power and cooling
  • Vendors are grouping for converged infrastructure business

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Server Markets Tumble – Will Drop 6% In 2012

Server Market Highlights Q2 2012

  • Revenues dropped 5% in the quarter to $14.1B
  • Revenues fell 5% in the year to June to $58.8B
  • Shipments decline by 1% to 3.7M, while he installed base rose 9% to 45.9m
  • Despite falling 3% in the quarter HP continues to lead with a 25.1% share (24.0% for the year)
  • Dell was the only one of the top 3 to gain share
  • x86 servers accounted for 75% ($10.5B) of the total in Q2
  • Windows accounted for 65% ($9.2B) of the server market
  • Virtualised servers accounted for 40% ($5.6B) against 60% ($8.5B) for physical-only machines
  • The Americas accounted for 43% ($6.0B), EMEA 32% ($4.5B) and Asia Pacific 25% ($3.5B)
  • VMware-based machines account for 31% ($1.7B) of virtualised servers and 12% of the total
  • In the x86 market VMware accounts for 67% of virtualised and 16% of all
  • The server market will drop 6% to $56.5B in 2012, followed by 1% growth in 2013

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Kaseya Africa – An MSP Approach To Overcome The Dearth Of Technical Skills

Kaseya Africa Highlights

  • Targets Managed Service Providers
  • Focuses on creating a community, not a channel
  • Sees new communications opening up the African market – especially in mobile solutions
  • MSPs can make up for the dearth of technical experties
  • Thabo Mbeki’s initiatives to create standards of governance, agreements and freedom are central to economic developments in Africa

Kaseya’s Garth Hayward

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The $15.3 Billion Server Market – Surprisingly Buoyant In Q1 2012

Q1 2012 Server Update

  • Q1 was surprisingly buoyant, although the worsening economy threatens a decline in coming quarters
  • The market grew 1% to $15.3 Billion in the quarter
  • $60 Billion in the year
  • Unit shipments were 4 million in the quarter
  • The installed base reached 44 million
  • x86 servers 2% growth ($11.5 Billion) in the quarter
  • 4% x86 growth to $44 Billion in the year
  • Windows operating systems were 66% of revenues, Linux – 9%
  • A drop in IBM System z revenues set back the rise in virtualised servers
  • Virtualised server represented 37% of revenues: physical-only machines 63%
  • Revenues declined 2% in the Americas
  • Asia Pacific revenues grew by 2%
  • EMEA grew by 1% in local currency

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Asigra And Partners Push Cloud Backup

Asigra Highlights

  • Has deep technical knowledge gained over 26 years
  • Offers its agent-less software exclusively through its hundreds of global service provider partners
  • Is considering a new capacity pricing scheme – lower price for backup (close to the price of disk), but an ‘appropriate’ higher one for restore
  • Aims to prevent customers spending money on things they don’t use as a result
  • Is partnering with NetApp to offer ‘Data Protection as a Service’ (DPaaS) through service providers
  • Will have 3.5k functions in version 12 of its software
  • Is part of an inexorable, but slow replacement of tape with disk
  • Is a strong early Cloud Computing player

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