Managing product portfolios will no longer be about managing total sales. Read more »
2017 prediction 3 – fewer suppliers, greater leverage of expertise for ITC offerings
2017 prediction 4 – Blockchain and the arrival of digital disintermediation
Blockchain systems are going to be big news in 2017. Read more »
2017 prediction 5 – Augmented and Virtual Reality – no longer a game!
Augmented and virtual reality come of age as business adopt them. Read more »
2017 prediction 7 – suppliers will rethink mega-theme marketing
Smart vendors will move away from increasingly irrelevant marketing messaging. Read more »
2017 prediction 8 – users continue to expose themselves to the perils of social media
Users will continue to ignore Internet security perils. Read more »
2017 prediction 6 – social disaffection threatens the hyper-globalised ITC market
SOcial and political dissatisfaction will make the globalised ITC industry harder for big vendors. Read more »
2017 prediction 9 – more M&A – Cisco will restructure
Suppliers will continue to restructure in 2017 Read more »
2017 prediction 10 – ITC skills shortages worsen in 2017
skills shortages in ITC disciplines will worsen in 2017 Read more »
ITCandor 2016 predictions – a self-assessment
In preparation for my eighth annual predictions since founding ITCandor I need to make a self assessment of our published expectations for the current year. My biggest disappointment is my prediction of small global market decline, when in fact the market will grow (2.9%) for the first time since 2012. As usual in recent […] Read more »
2016 IT and Communications predictions – the weakness continues
It’s that time of the year again.. time to look at the new year and make a few predictions. My forecasts cover those areas and themes that look most likely to prosper. As in 2015 the dramatic changes in exchange rates will make the market difficult. Market growth will continue […] Read more »
2016 predictions 1 – The world ITC market declines by 1.2% to $5.8 trillion
In 2015 the market declined by 5.1%, so its unlikely to see a recovery in the year. My forecast is for a 1.2% decline, with the market reaching $5.8T. Performance by category will vary. In particular: Software will grow 4.2% to $916B: although it lags in revenues, it will continue […] Read more »
2016 prediction 2 – EMEA and the Americas outgrow Asia Pacific – at least in constant dollars
The slackness of the market will also be apparent in region spending growth. In particular: The Americas will outperform the others, growing by 0.5% to $2.3T; vendors will need to offer innovative products to persuade these sophisticate users to buy yet more technology EMEA will grow by 0.3% to $1.7T; […] Read more »
2016 prediction 3 – The USA grows faster than other American countries
The USA is by far the largest country market worldwide and within the Americas: in 2016 it will spend $1.7T – 28% of the world total. Growth will be 1.2% – better than other countries in the region. We need the US to grow in order to make up for […] Read more »
2016 prediction 4 – Turkey top, Russia bottom of EMEA growth (again!)
EMEA is a region full of country markets. Germany is the largest, followed by the UK. For the second year running I expect the strongest growth (3.8%) to be in Turkey and the steepest decline (-10.7%) to be in Russia. The lifting of sanctions on Iran will lead to growth […] Read more »
2016 prediction 5 – Chinese spending declines in the lacklustre Asia Pacific market
Japan and China will be the two largest IT and communications markets in Asia Pacific. For the first time in a number of years I’m not predicting that the region will outgrow the Americas and EMEA: in fact I expect we’ll see a decline in spending in most countries. Even […] Read more »
2016 prediction 6 – Raw storage and services drive Big Data growth
For an update to this data please click here. Over the last few years there’s been shift in spending away from storage arrays and towards raw storage. I expect this to continue in 2016. In total the market will grow by 2% to $115B, with the strongest growth in raw […] Read more »
2016 prediction 7 – Cloud Computing continues to surge – SaaS is the star
Cloud computing will grow by 13% to reach $354B. The strongest growth will be in SaaS (26.3%), which we count as part of the software market. IT services engage to build and manage private, public and hybrid clouds will grow by 16.3%, PaaS by 7.7% and IaaS by 8.1%. The […] Read more »
2016 prediction 8 – Applications dominate in the shift towards a ‘Software Defined’ future
Cloud computing will grow by 13% to reach $354B. The strongest growth will be in SaaS (26.3%), which we count as part of the software market. IT services engage to build and manage private, public and hybrid clouds will grow by 16.3%, PaaS by 7.7% and IaaS by 8.1%. The […] Read more »
2016 prediction 9 – Small businesses spend more, consumers less in 2016
In 2016 I expect consumer spending to decline by 3.2% worldwide to reach $2.2T. Of the business sectors spending by small companies (those with 100 or fewer employees) will grow by 2.2%, while investment by medium businesses (those with between 100 and 1,000 employees) will decline by -0.2% and large […] Read more »
2016 prediction 10 – Manufacturing and ‘Other’ lead among vertical markets
Total spending by businesses in 2016 will be $3.7B. I expect most of the traditional sectors to spend less than they did in 2015. Manufacturing and finance industries will spend 1.0% less, while government investments will drop by 0.6%. I expect retail spending to be the same ($0.7T) as 2015. […] Read more »