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9. Quantum computing will come of age, creating analytic breakthroughs in HPC

Like AI, quantum computing has promised to deliver big benefits to society over the last few years. I believe we will see substantial improvements in its use for scientific and mathematical analytics in 2024 – benefiting its developers (IBM, Google and others). I hope that its legitimate use outstrips the […] Read more »

10. War and terrorism will keep gas and oil prices high, slow the move to green energy and negatively affect ITC supply chains

The ITC market was once new, offering potential savings in automation and productivity enhancement for early adopters. By 2024 it has become an essential part of almost every product and service we purchase. The market is so large that its size and growth is bound to be tied to the […] Read more »

1. The total ITC market will see zero spending growth, remaining level at $7.1 trillion

The 2021-2023 flat-line growth in spending of the ITC industry looks likely to continue. My first prediction (see my Figure above) is for total spending to remain at its current $7.1 trillion level for another year. Although inflation in many markets has been successfully reduced, we have yet to see […] Read more »

4. Software spending growth will be stronger than in IT Services; Telecommunications and hardware sales will decline

In my research I split ITC offerings into 4 mutually exclusive categories. In 2024 I expect that IT Services will remain the largest (39% of the total) with growth in the year of 1.7%. Software (now larger than both Telecommunications and Hardware) will see the strongest growth (5%). I expect […] Read more »

5. Sales by offering – Software as a Service spending will grow most; Implementation IT services will be the largest

I split the 4 categories in my research into 32 separate offerings; of these I expect Software as a Service (SaaS) to see the greatest growth in 2024 (14%), followed by Operating Systems (10%), IaaS (9%) and PaaS (9%). Sales of Implementation services (12%) and Applications (11%) will be the […] Read more »

6. Spending on raw storage will begin to grow again, following two years of dramatic decline

I’m nervous to make predictions around raw storage devices following the failures I’ve made here over the last couple of years. There’s no doubt that these markets have proved highly volatile since the pandemic, when not enough of these components were made to meet demand and then were over produced. […] Read more »

7. Generative AI – especially from large public cloud suppliers will continue to grow at tremendous rates

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has been threatening to take a lead role as a revenue generator in our industry for many years. 2023 was a year in which we saw very dramatic growth from the specialist suppliers involved. My Figure above shows Nvidia’s reported ‘datacenter’ revenues by quarter; this is where […] Read more »

8. State-sponsored cyber criminals will continue to influence/interrupt/disrupt national elections in the USA and UK

Both the USA and the UK will have general elections in 2024. Politics in both countries have been badly affected by international (mainly Russian) interference in the past; I believe that the UK’s decision to leave the EU for instance would not have been taken were it not for the […] Read more »

Q2 2023 ITC spending – declines in memory and devices, growth in AI hardware

A look at the major spending movements in the UTC market workdwide in Q2 2023 Read more »

IBM Storage introduces the Flash System 5045

IBM announced last updated its FS5000 series storage systems in February 2021, having launched them the year before. This week it announced the FS5045, which replaces the FS5035. Like the FS5035, the new product includes Data reduction (compression and deduplication), Scale-out clustering, IBM HyperSwap high-availability and Encryption To differentiate it […] Read more »