Information Technology and Communications research
Like AI, quantum computing has promised to deliver big benefits to society over the last few years. I believe we will see substantial improvements in its use for scientific and mathematical analytics in 2024 – benefiting its developers (IBM, Google and others). I hope that its legitimate use outstrips the […] Read more »
The ITC market was once new, offering potential savings in automation and productivity enhancement for early adopters. By 2024 it has become an essential part of almost every product and service we purchase. The market is so large that its size and growth is bound to be tied to the […] Read more »
The 2021-2023 flat-line growth in spending of the ITC industry looks likely to continue. My first prediction (see my Figure above) is for total spending to remain at its current $7.1 trillion level for another year. Although inflation in many markets has been successfully reduced, we have yet to see […] Read more »
At a regional level I expect ITC sales in 2024 to grow by 2% in Asia Pacific. I expect sales to very slightly in both the Americas and EMEA since, although there are many immature markets in both, they are dominated by the USA and Western European countries respectively which […] Read more »
At a country level sales in the USA will continue to be far the largest (31% of the world), although I expect the 2024 total will be very slightly down on 2023. I expect Japan and Australia to see the strongest growth (2.6% in both). Of the other major country […] Read more »
In my research I split ITC offerings into 4 mutually exclusive categories. In 2024 I expect that IT Services will remain the largest (39% of the total) with growth in the year of 1.7%. Software (now larger than both Telecommunications and Hardware) will see the strongest growth (5%). I expect […] Read more »
I split the 4 categories in my research into 32 separate offerings; of these I expect Software as a Service (SaaS) to see the greatest growth in 2024 (14%), followed by Operating Systems (10%), IaaS (9%) and PaaS (9%). Sales of Implementation services (12%) and Applications (11%) will be the […] Read more »
I’m nervous to make predictions around raw storage devices following the failures I’ve made here over the last couple of years. There’s no doubt that these markets have proved highly volatile since the pandemic, when not enough of these components were made to meet demand and then were over produced. […] Read more »
Artificial Intelligence (AI) has been threatening to take a lead role as a revenue generator in our industry for many years. 2023 was a year in which we saw very dramatic growth from the specialist suppliers involved. My Figure above shows Nvidia’s reported ‘datacenter’ revenues by quarter; this is where […] Read more »
Both the USA and the UK will have general elections in 2024. Politics in both countries have been badly affected by international (mainly Russian) interference in the past; I believe that the UK’s decision to leave the EU for instance would not have been taken were it not for the […] Read more »
An internal assessment of my predictions for 2023. Read more »
My look at the foundation of the AI Alliance Read more »
Poor performance in the sales of raw data storage devices is contributing to the softness of the current ITC market; does this represent a temporary or permanent change in the storage market? Read more »
Analyis of Cisco's porposed acquisition of Splunk for c. $28b Read more »
A look at the major spending movements in the UTC market workdwide in Q2 2023 Read more »
My look at the gaming market in 2023, the proposed acquisition of Activision Blizzard by Microsoft and the UK regulator's opposition Read more »
IBM announced last updated its FS5000 series storage systems in February 2021, having launched them the year before. This week it announced the FS5045, which replaces the FS5035. Like the FS5035, the new product includes Data reduction (compression and deduplication), Scale-out clustering, IBM HyperSwap high-availability and Encryption To differentiate it […] Read more »
A look at the downturn in the ITC market in Q1 2023 Read more »
A look at IBM's new mid-range z16 servers, including its first rack-mounted mainframe Read more »
Cloud computing has been one of the fastest growing and exciting IT markets over the past decade. Typically bought by enterprises wanting to avoid the complexity of setting up, deploying and managing applications them in their own data centers, cloud services come in three flavours – software, platform and infrastructure […] Read more »